Artificial Intelligence and the humble Horse: A rather unfair comparison
I was having a perfectly reasonable cup of tea this morning when a rather peculiar thought struck me: what would people have made of artificial intelligence before weâd even sorted out the combustion engine?
Picture, if you will, the year 1885. Karl Benz has just cobbled together his Patent-Motorwagen, Queen Victoria is having a thoroughly Victorian time of it, and someone comes along claiming theyâve built a thinking machine.
âPreposterous!â theyâd cry, adjusting their top hats indignantly. âMachines canât think! Next youâll be telling us carriages can run without horses!â
the audacity of artificial thinking
The thing is, weâve become frightfully accustomed to the idea that intelligence requires a brain, preferably one housed in something that needs feeding and has opinions about the weather. Before weâd even conceived of horseless carriages, the notion of brainless intelligence would have seemed about as likely as a fish riding a bicycle-which, incidentally, would have been another impossible thing until someone invented the bicycle.
Consider the poor Victorian gentleman, struggling to comprehend a world where:
- Carriages might propel themselves (how vulgar!)
- Messages could travel without a horse and rider (what sorcery!)
- Machines could perform calculations faster than his accountant (unemployment crisis!)
Now imagine explaining to this chap that one day, machines wouldnât just calculate-theyâd write poetry, paint pictures, and probably have stronger opinions about the Oxford comma than most of his contemporaries.
the great mechanical horse replacement scandal
When the combustion engine did finally turn up fashionably late to the party, it caused quite the stir. Horses, who had enjoyed a monopoly on transportation for several millennia, suddenly found themselves rather surplus to requirements. The poor dears went from being essential infrastructure to nostalgic decoration faster than you could say âModel T Ford.â
But hereâs the delicious irony: we spent decades teaching machines to replace horse power, and now weâre teaching them to replace brain power. Itâs rather like upgrading from a horse-drawn carriage to a rocket ship, only to discover the rocket ship can also write your correspondence and probably has better handwriting than you do.
what the victorians would make of chatgpt
I suspect a Victorian encountering modern AI would go through the traditional five stages of technological grief:
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Denial: âThis is clearly some elaborate parlour trick involving a very small person hiding in the machine.â
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Anger: âItâs unnatural! God intended thinking to be done by people, preferably people with proper breeding and a decent education!â
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Bargaining: âPerhaps we could use it just for the really tedious calculations? Surely it canât compose a proper sonnet?â
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Depression: âIf machines can think, whatâs the point of human intelligence? Weâll all be obsolete by Tuesday!â
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Acceptance: âI say, this mechanical brain has written rather a good limerick about my horse.â
the uncomfortable truth about progress
The uncomfortable truth-uncomfortable for horses, anyway-is that weâve always been rather ruthless about replacing things that served us well. We traded horses for engines, candles for electric lights, and carrier pigeons for telegrams. Each time, we thought weâd reached the pinnacle of human achievement, only to discover weâd barely scratched the surface.
Now weâre trading human intelligence for artificial intelligence, which feels rather more personal than replacing a horse. After all, most of us were quite attached to our intelligence, limited though it may have been.
a modest proposal for our ai future
Perhaps we should take a leaf from the horsesâ book. They didnât fight the combustion engine-they simply reinvented themselves as recreational companions and occasional racing entertainment. Humans might do well to consider a similar career pivot.
Instead of competing with AI at thinking (a battle weâre destined to lose with the same dignity as horses competing with motorcars), perhaps we should focus on the things machines find puzzling: procrastination, getting unreasonably emotional about sports teams, and the peculiar human ability to make tea exactly wrong despite having made it correctly thousands of times before.
in conclusion
Artificial intelligence isnât the first technology to make its predecessors redundant, nor will it be the last. The Victorians couldnât have imagined a world without horses, just as we struggle to imagine a world where machines do most of our thinking.
But if history has taught us anything, itâs that humans are remarkably adaptable creatures. We survived the agricultural revolution, the industrial revolution, and somehow made it through the invention of social media. I suspect weâll muddle through the AI revolution with our characteristic combination of panic, ingenuity, and cups of tea.
After all, if thereâs one thing machines still canât do properly, itâs make a decent cup of tea. And until they sort that out, we humans still have a fighting chance.
Written by a human (for now), with only moderate assistance from a spell-checker, and absolutely no horses were harmed in the making of this post.